Ukraine’s Starting to Get Dangerous

A lot of people seem to have forgotten about the war in Ukraine. That’s a mistake. Russia is slowly but steadily defeating Ukraine, which is becoming increasingly obvious to everyone except the most anti-Russian diehards. That’s leading to desperation in elite Western circles determined to stop Russia one way or the other. In their minds,…

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“Goldilocks” Is Gonna Get It

The Fed kept the fed funds rate unchanged at last week’s meeting, as I predicted. That makes 17 Fed meetings in a row going back to March 16, 2022, when I got the Fed forecast right. Events remain uncertain from here, but it’s so far, so good for my forecasting (that’s not because I have…

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Required Reading for Investors

What’s the best way to survive a financial crisis with your wealth intact? The answer may surprise you. Many investors would say, “Sell everything and wait until it’s over!” That’s almost never good advice. In the first place, some assets perform well in crises, and you should hold onto those. Secondly, how do you know…

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Is the French Central Bank Going Broke?

I once had dinner with a Federal Reserve Board governor who told me that central banks can’t go bankrupt. I didn’t agree with her, and this story makes me even more sure that even central banks can find themselves in severe financial distress. Reuters reports that the Banque De France (the central bank of France) suffered a…

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