BLOG

40324532824_a540ab9b26_b-1

The U.S. Won’t Quit Until We Start World War III

We’ve written frequently in the past about the risks of escalation in the War in Ukraine. Of course, all wars carry such risks, and often the escalation plays out exactly as feared.

World War II began with the conventional weapons of the time (infantry, ships, aircraft, artillery, etc.) but eventually escalated to fire-bombing major cities like Dresden, annihilating entire Army Groups on the Eastern Front in Europe with millions of dead, and the use of atomic bombs over Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The same dynamic is playing out in Ukraine, although few Americans are aware of the full details.

The war began with a limited special military operation by Russia in Ukraine and has now escalated to the largest and most deadly land war in Europe since World War II. That escalation includes deliveries by the U.S. and other NATO members to the Armed Forces of Ukraine of advanced weaponry, including Patriot anti-aircraft batteries, HIMARS mobile precision missile launchers, drones, Leopard tanks Challenger tanks, Bradley Fighting Vehicles, Storm Shadow cruise missiles and much more.

Russia has responded by increasing its troops in Ukraine from 100,000 to perhaps 500,000 (the exact number is secret) and deploying GPS jamming devices, hypersonic missiles, drones, landmines, and its highly effective S-400 anti-aircraft missiles.

The danger in Ukraine is not just the obvious one of escalation. The danger is that both sides (Russia v. NATO) are nuclear powers.

Will the escalation end soon? Not likely, according to this article.

The U.S. is on the verge of adopting a new treaty called the Black Sea Security Act. A glance at a map shows the Black Sea is surrounded by Turkey, Bulgaria, Romania, Ukraine, Russia, and Georgia. Russia and Ukraine are the main combatants.

Georgia is under the thumb of Russia. Turkey, Romania, and Bulgaria are all NATO members. Not every NATO member will necessarily adopt the provisions of the Black Sea treaty. But if the U.S. does, it will set up a NATO v. Russia confrontation in the Black Sea itself.

This could involve using Romanian ports and U.S. vessels to attack Russian Navy ships in the Black Sea in the name of freedom of navigation. The real purpose is to facilitate arms shipments to Ukraine via the Bosporus and the Black Sea.

This is one more step on the road to escalation and eventual nuclear war between the U.S. and Russia over Ukraine. Is anyone paying attention? The Russians are.

Corporate leaders and institutional fiduciaries looking to incorporate state of the art predictive analytics to their risk mitigation and strategic analysis should click the link to learn more about Raven Predictive Analytics®.

OUR MISSION

Raven Predictive Analytics®, a patent-pending enterprise software as a service (SaaS), disrupts existing predictive analytics by more accurately modeling capital markets using complex systems, augmented intelligence, and team science.

Presented in a streamlined and personalized data center, Raven Predictive Analytics®; will revolutionize the way corporate risk managers and institutional investors read the market.