Give Peace A Chance. Trump Receives Two Nominations For Nobel Peace Prize.

At a time when Americans are absorbed in news of the COVID-19 pandemic, economic collapse, domestic rioting and the course of the election campaign, it’s easy to lose sight of foreign policy. Yet, traditionally foreign policy and domestic policy are the twin pillars on which any presidential campaign is judged.

We can leave the domestic policy debates for another time. But, in the realm of foreign policy, President Trump has been a giant.

Trump has gradually reduced troop levels in Iraq, Afghanistan and Europe. He has avoided new wars. Trump has also avoided major humanitarian crises, although he has had to deal with the aftermath of crises in Syria and Libya that Obama precipitated and then left behind.

Trump has opened to door to dialogue with North Korea and has come down hard on Iranian cheating with regard to the nuclear weapons and long-range missile programs. Importantly, Trump has been a peacemaker.

In recent weeks, Trump has announced three major peace treaties between former enemies that were negotiated with direction from the United States. The first was an historic treaty between Israel and the United Arab Emirates. Then came a peace agreement between Serbia and Kosovo, resolving differences that go back centuries. Finally, Trump announced another Arab-Israel peace treaty between Bahrain and Israel.

These breakthroughs have not gone unnoticed by the world (even if they have been ignored by mainstream media). This article provides details of the Israel-Bahrain accord, but also gives background information on the Israel-UAE treaty and analysis on possible future breakthroughs with Saudi Arabia.

As a result of these successes, Trump has received two separate nominations for the Nobel Peace Prize – one from a member of the Norwegian Parliament and another from a member of the Swedish Parliament. We’ll see if Trump wins the Nobel Prize, (he deserves to, but there’s a lot of anti-Trump sentiment in Norway and Sweden and the rest of Scandinavia).

There’s no doubt that these achievements will help Trump’s reelection chances. According to Professor Alan Lichtman’s predictive model called Keys to the White House, an achievement in foreign policy is one of only 13 factors that accurately predict who will win a presidential election. Trump has now definitively turned that key in his favor.

Corporate leaders and institutional fiduciaries looking to incorporate state of the art predictive analytics to their risk mitigation and strategic analysis should click the link to learn more about Raven Predictive Analytics®.